Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.595007 6.118394 6.707371 7.427961 8.298382 9.333296 10.685273
2024-12-29 4.886056 5.557730 6.372263 7.462021 8.932824 10.938034 14.071734
2025-01-05 4.344499 5.089627 6.046998 7.426093 9.482417 12.697196 18.889837
2025-01-12 3.822770 4.567626 5.563292 7.076046 9.512100 13.791645 23.958945
2025-01-19 3.398955 4.120296 5.113379 6.685681 9.381750 14.634797 30.182383
2025-01-26 3.254198 4.032140 5.153068 7.049721 10.673214 19.294926 64.525649
2025-02-02 3.232068 4.111852 5.453059 7.929630 13.466175 32.315926 NaN
2025-02-09 3.117689 4.040713 5.506298 8.400039 15.801297 53.833798 NaN
2025-02-16 2.987556 3.929484 5.475110 8.705289 18.076699 102.446551 NaN
2025-02-23 2.854944 3.799505 5.391418 8.882091 20.265251 278.288119 NaN
2025-03-02 2.659483 3.550622 5.063458 8.425455 19.774198 438.192904 NaN
2025-03-09 2.540386 3.417027 4.931100 8.406233 21.205726 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.347303 3.163060 4.577938 7.851597 20.185168 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.242975 3.050369 4.481135 7.932418 22.654936 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.139560 2.931307 4.359054 7.925364 24.976514 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.012706 2.763322 4.123691 7.556476 24.558453 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 1.892935 2.600482 3.884673 7.134943 23.403739 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 1.858412 2.582637 3.933971 7.558052 30.238370 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 1.864863 2.637061 4.140609 8.572682 53.321045 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.833103 2.619698 4.192267 9.125681 87.781198 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.791100 2.579891 4.188586 9.489046 153.498254 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.744178 2.527277 4.148821 9.702485 307.339502 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.666432 2.411637 3.949819 9.175009 243.653364 NaN NaN